Spádómar fyrir 2008

Verða framreiddir í amk. 20 innleggjum næstu 2 vikurnar en byrjum á nr. 1 - bloggið mun vinna sér enn  vaxandi áhrif á kostnað ruslpósts (sem eitt sinn kallaðist fjölmiðlar). Miklu meira síðar.

FINANCIAL OUTLOOK 2008 - Saxo Bank

City experts give us their top predictions

Last Updated: 10:33pm GMT 27/12/2007

SAXO BANK: UK RECESSION TO PROMPT AIR OF 'FORCED SAVINGS' IN A TOUGHER 2008

David Karsbøl, head of strategy, Saxo Bank

Saxo Bank, the Danish online investment bank, issues a cautionary 2008 outlook - warning investors of the end of cheap money, tighter lending conditions, rising inflation and a UK recession ushering in a new mood of "forced savings" for Western consumers.

	Saxo is bearish on the pound

• Financial outlook 2008

US and Western consumers will have to stop living beyond their means and start saving, for the first time in decades, as rising inflation in 2008 sees the cost of living soar, applying a break on consumption and turning GDP growth negative five quarters after house prices peak.

For the first time since the seventies we are seeing the re-emergence of "stagflation," which means we are seeing a reduction in risk-appetite, rising inflation and slowing GDP growth.

Central Banks are no longer in control of inflation and have kept interest rates artificially low for too long. Now, they have finally taken notice and will need to raise rates in 2008 or risk a decade of high inflation.

With that in mind, GDP growth and consumption will not return to 'normal' until 2012, pushing real long-term interest rates to creep up and unemployment to climb between 80pc-100pc higher than in 2007.

US

The US will be the first country to suffer, with GDP growth tipped to turn negative from the second or third quarter of 2008.

But despite some dire warnings for the US outlook, Saxo Bank, known as an online FX trading bank, predicts the troubled US Dollar will stage a comeback against an "overvalued" Euro in 2008.

The Euro Dollar (EURUSD) will retreat from its current level, to trade at 1.3400 by Q4 2008.

Europe

Europe is forecast to undergo at least one interest rate rise, with the European Central Bank hiking rates to 4.25pc. While all countries that have benefited from a housing boom stand to suffer from the unravelling credit crisis and a drop in house prices, the UK and US are the most vulnerable.

UK

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The UK will be very vulnerable throughout 2008 as we expect housing to slow and the effect of pared back bank bonuses start to play out.

We are bearish on the pound, which will be a volatile currency mover throughout the year and weaken to trade at 1.90 against the US Dollar in the second, and again in the fourth quarter.

China

The China bubble that has been the big story since the late 90's will finally and significantly burst in 2008, with the Shanghai Composite index plummeting a colossal 40pc to target 2900 by the year's end.

Japan

One country Saxo Bank tips for a surprise comeback is Japan, which may become the contrarian investment of 2008 after recently undergoing financial sector reforms, seeing an increase in foreign capital in-flow and a rally in home prices and personal consumption.

We believe Japan could stage a comeback in 2008, but we won't buy the Nikkei 225 until it hits 352.

Sectors

Energy and agricultural sectors are tipped to be the strong performers through 2008, with oil predicted to push $175 p/b and wheat, corn and livestock prices rallying on the back of poor supply, higher demand for bio-ethanol products and rising meat demand from Chinese consumers.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/main.jhtml?xml=/money/exclusions/hubpages/outlook2008/2008saxo.xml 

Völvan hefur verið últraöruggur gagnvísir árum saman. Hugsanlega er hún núna yfirseld

Þessir helstu spádómar hennar núna eru heldur augljósir. Fjármálakerfi heimsins hefur verið að hrynja síðustu 20-30 árin amk. og langt er síðan skuldapappíraframleiðsla varð langmikilvægasta atvinnustarfsemi á vesturlöndum. Hún hefði mátt reyna að spá því að á árinu 2008 tæki loksins enginn mark á ruslpóstinum sem hefur leitt athygli fólks frá þessum alvarlegu staðreyndum og öðrum. 

Það er ekki ósennilegt að ríkisstjórnin springi. Forsætisráðherrann er einhvers konar "ready made lame duck" sem aldrei sést eða heyrist enda hefur hann ekkert að segja. Þú getur ekki sagt landslýðnum sem utanríkisráðherra að engin ástæða sé til að efast um orð raðlygara í Washington og ætlast svo til að fólk taki mikið mark á þér. Það er ekki traustvekjandi að kóa með síkópatískum raðlygurum. 

Aukin upplýsing og minnkandi áhrif ruslpósts (sem eitt sinn kallaðist fjölmiðlar) munu því halda áfram að grafa undan öllu þessu lygabatteríi hvort sem um er að ræða fjármálakerfið, heimsvaldastefnu og baráttu um auðlindir eða tímabundin hagsmunasambönd einflokka hér og erlendis.  

 

Völvan spáir stjórnarslitum

Viðskiptamódel verslunarinnar biður hreinlega um rán og glæpamenn sinna þeirri beiðni í vaxandi mæli

Það segir sig sjálft. Ef þú mannar verslanir með börnum þá ertu hreinlega að biðja um að verða rændur. Það er engin leið framhjá þessu og þýðir ekkert að þykjast koma af fjöllum. Sjálfsagt endar þessi vitleysa með því að einhver slasast alvarlega eða verður jafnvel drepinn en vonandi verða öryggismálin bætt áður en að því kemur. Annars sé ég ekki nokkurn tilgang í því að hafa allar þessar verslanir opnar öll kvöld og jafnvel allan sólarhringinn og að sjálfsögðu gengi það ekki upp væri eigendum þeirra gert skylt að eyða peningum í fullnægjandi öryggisvörslu fyrir börnin sem þeir hafa í vinnu.

Rán í 11-11 á Grensásvegi

Skv. FBI er bin Laden grýlan ekki eftirlýst fyrir 11. sept. - Upprifjun að gefnu tilefni

http://www.twf.org/News/Y2006/0608-BinLaden.html 

 June 8, 2006
The Wisdom Fund

FBI: Bin Laden Not Wanted for 9/11

The 'FBI has no hard evidence connecting Bin Laden to 9/11'

by Enver Masud

The FBI's "Most Wanted Terrorists" web page does not state that Bin Laden is wanted for the September 11, 2001 attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon.

The FBI page states: "Usama Bin Laden is wanted in connection with the August 7, 1998, bombings of the United States Embassies in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, and Nairobi, Kenya. These attacks killed over 200 people. In addition, Bin Laden is a suspect in other terrorist attacks throughout the world."

When asked why there is no mention of 9/11 on the FBI's web page, Rex Tomb, the FBI's Chief of Investigative Publicity, is reported to have said, "The reason why 9/11 is not mentioned on Usama Bin Laden's Most Wanted page is because the FBI has no hard evidence connecting Bin Laden to 9/11."

In the months leading up to the Septmber 11, 2001 attack, it is reported, the Taliban "outlined various ways bin Laden could be dealt with. He could be turned over to the EU, killed by the Taliban, or made available as a target for Cruise missiles." The Bush administration did not accept the Taliban's offer.

"On September 20, 2001," according to the Guardian, "the Taliban offered to hand Osama bin Laden to a neutral Islamic country for trial if the US presented them with evidence that he was responsible for the attacks on New York and Washington. The US rejected the offer."

On September 23, 2001 the BBC reported that four of the hijack "suspects" - Waleed Al Shehri, Abdulaziz Al Omari, Saeed Alghamdi, and possibly Khalid Al Midhar - were alive, and that FBI Director Robert Mueller acknowledged "the identity of several of the suicide hijackers is in doubt."

Bin Laden, in a September 28, 2001 interview with the Pakistani newspaper Ummat, is reported to have said: "I am not involved in the 11 September attacks in the United States."

Skeptics dismiss the video tape "found in a house in Jalalabad", Afghanistan, which allegedly shows Bin Laden confessing to the September 11 attacks. In a December 20, 2001, broadcast by German TV channel Das Erste "two independent translators and an expert on oriental studies found the White House's translation not only to be inaccurate, but manipulative."

FBI Director Robert Mueller, in a speech at the Commonwealth Club on April 19, 2002, said: "In our investigation, we have not uncovered a single piece of paper - either here in the United States, or in the treasure trove of information that has turned up in Afghanistan and elsewhere - that mentioned any aspect of the September 11 plot."

In fact there are no Arab names on the partial list of passengers on the 9/11 flights. A final list is not available.

Yet on September 12, 2001 ABC News reported that "investigators have identified all the hijackers". Among those identified was "Satan Suqami, a Saudi national on American Airlines Flight 11, whose passport was recovered in the rubble."

The evidence against Bin Laden, promised by Secretary of State Colin Powell on September 23, 2001, has yet to be made available to the public.

Bin Laden is the "prime suspect" in the September 11 attacks, said President Bush on September 17, 2001, and he pledged to capture him "dead or alive."

---
[Digital morphing - voice, video, and photo - has come of age, available for use in psychological operations. PSYOPS, as the military calls it, seek to exploit human vulnerabilities in enemy governments, militaries and populations to pursue national and battlefield objectives. . . .

Pentagon planners started to discuss digital morphing after Iraq's invasion of Kuwait in 1990. Covert operators kicked around the idea of creating a computer-faked videotape of Saddam Hussein crying or showing other such manly weaknesses, or in some sexually compromising situation. The nascent plan was for the tapes to be flooded into Iraq and the Arab world.--William M. Arkin, "When Seeing and Hearing Isn't Believing," Washington Post, February 1, 1999]

Enver Masud, "Deadly Deception, Pretexts for War," The Wisdom Fund, July 30, 2001

Enver Masud, "Why No Arab Names on Passenger List?," The Wisdom Fund, July 26, 2004

George Friedman, "America's Secret War," The Wisdom Fund, October 11, 2005

"Messages to the World: The Statements of Osama bin Laden," Verso (November 28, 2005)

Amber Rupinta, "Duke Professor Skeptical of bin Laden Tape," ABC News. January 19, 2006

Enver Masud, "What Really Happened to 7 World Trade Center?," The Wisdom Fund, April 17, 2006

Robert Parry, "CIA: Osama Helped Bush in '04," consortiumnews.com, July 4, 2006

[The FBI is confident that it has positively identified the nineteen hijackers responsible for the 9/11 terrorist attacks.--Steve Herrmann, "9/11 conspiracy theory," BBC News, October 27, 2006]

["Able Danger did not identify Mohammed Atta or any other 9/11 hijacker at any time prior to Sept. 11, 2001,"--Greg Miller, "Alarming 9/11 claim is found baseless," Los Angeles Times, December 25, 2006]

[But more interesting were the examples Krawetz gave of al Qaeda images. Krawetz took an image from a 2006 al Qaeda video of Ayman al-Zawahiri (above right), a senior member of the terrorist organization. The image shows al-Zawahiri sitting in front of a desk and banner with writing on it. But after conducting his error analysis Krawetz was able to determine that al-Zawahiri's image was superimposed in front of the background--Kim Zetter, "Researcher's Analysis of al Qaeda Images Reveals Surprises," wired.com, August 2, 2007]

"Bin Laden's message to the American people," aljazeera.net, September 7, 2007 [Is this video real or fake? Has Al-Jazeera been "neutered"?]

"Latest Bin Laden Video Is a Forgery: All References to Current Events Are Made During Video Freeze," mparent7777-2.blogspot.com, September 9, 2007

Gjörspillt valdaelíta vesturlanda grætur krókódílatárum vegna Benazir Bhutto

January 9, 1998

Bhutto Clan Leaves Trail of Corruption in Pakistan

In This Article

• The Student: Privileged Learning, Populist Platitudes
• The Heritage: Landowning Class Accustomed to Rule
• The Negotiations: Flight and Crash of a Dassault Deal
• The Profits: Scams at Both Ends of Customs System
• The Gold Connection: Granting a License, Reaping a Profit
• The Documentation: Erasing the Proofs of Secret Power

  Related Articles

• A Background Check Far From Ordinary
• An Opulent Estate, Quietly Bought in England's Countryside
• Pakistan at 50: Much to Be Proud of, Much to Regret (Aug. 15)
• Bhutto Suffers Rebuff, as Former Leader Heads for Victory in Pakistan (Feb. 4)
• President of Pakistan Dismisses Bhutto Government (Nov. 5, 1996)

  Graphic

• The Gold Connection

Benazir Bhutto látin

Birni Bjarna verður brátt kasserað, þess vegna er verið að skaffa Þorsteini djobb núna

Mér finnst þetta nú frekar augljóst. Það er árið 2007 og miðaldirnar löngu liðnar og ekki verjandi að púkka upp á ráðherra sem telja (ásamt fasískum hugmyndafræðingum og átrúnaðargoðum sínum) ekkert athugavert við að stjórnmálamenn hafi samráð við einhver ósýnileg og óskýranleg trúarleg öfl (möo. raddir í eigin haus). Hugsanir?

Jesus 2 - Santa 82. Archbishop says nativity 'a legend'

The Archbishop of Canterbury said yesterday that the Christmas story of the Three Wise Men was nothing but a 'legend'.

• Transcript: Archbishop's interview with Simon Mayo
• Damian Thompson: Another of Rowan Williams' own goals
• Midnight mass at 8pm to fool drunks

  Dr Rowan Williams has claimed there was little evidence that the Magi even existed and there was certainly nothing to prove there were three of them or that they were kings.

  	Dr Williams argued that the traditional Christmas story was nothing but a 'legend'

  He said the only reference to the wise men from the East was in Matthew's gospel and the details were very vague.
  
  Dr Williams said: "Matthew's gospel says they are astrologers, wise men, priests from somewhere outside the Roman Empire, that's all we're really told. It works quite well as legend."

  The Archbishop went on to dispel other details of the Christmas story, adding that there were probably no asses or oxen in the stable.

  He argued that Christmas cards which showed the Virgin Mary cradling the baby Jesus, flanked by shepherds and wise men, were misleading. As for the scenes that depicted snow falling in Bethlehem, the Archbishop said the chance of this was "very unlikely".

 

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml;jsessionid=JHPSTTVO4EG5FQFIQMGCFGGAVCBQUIV0?xml=/news/2007/12/20/nwise120.xml&6=7

Hvernig þú getur leyst allar Sudoku gátur og það svo til án hugsunar

Það eina sem þú þarft er fínn blýantur og gott strokleður.

Segjum að í fyrstu láréttu línunni séu 5, 6, 8 og 9. Þá fyllir þú í alla auðu reitina með litlum tölustöfum 12347. Og svo framvegis niður gátuna. Síðan strokarðu út lárétt, lóðrétt og innan 9 tölustafa grúppanna eftir tölustöfunum sem gefnir voru upp. Þegar tala sem þú skrifaðir niður stendur aðeins einu sinni lárétt, lóðrétt eða í grúppu skrifast hún þar inn og þú strokar síðan út eftir henni og svo framvegis.

Putin maður ársins hjá Time

A Tsar Is Born

By ADI IGNATIUS

http://www.time.com/time/specials/2007/personoftheyear/article/1,28804,1690753_1690757_1690766,00.html

 

Person of the Year 2007